Market Insights
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5 Setups I’m Buying This Week
Nathan Bear | May 26, 2026
An AI data stock crushed earnings and ran to new highs. Now it’s resting at the level I want to see break, with three squeezes stacking up and a heavy short float underneath. If that level breaks, the move comes fast. This is the playbook I’m hunting all week. I want earnings winners with high … Continued
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One factory makes 70% of the world’s AI chips
Nathan Bear | May 22, 2026
The most powerful AI chips in the world share one manufacturer. Nvidia, Apple, and AMD all design their chips in-house but ship the blueprints to the same place to be manufactured. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM), is where every major AI chip moves from blueprint to finished product. No other company builds at this scale … Continued
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This Semiconductor’s Custom AI Business Went From Zero to $1.5 Billion in Two Years.
Nathan Bear | May 21, 2026
Two years ago, Marvell (MRVL) had no custom silicon business. Today it’s a $1.5 billion revenue line and growing. Amazon’s Trainium chip and Microsoft’s Maia accelerator both run on Marvell silicon. Google is a customer too, and Marvell works directly with Nvidia on bandwidth and connectivity for AI data centers. Its management expects the custom … Continued
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Amazon, Apple, and NVIDIA Can’t Build Without This Company
Nathan Bear | May 20, 2026
There’s a set of instructions buried inside virtually every smartphone, AI server, and cloud processor on earth. They belong to one British company. ARM Holdings (ARM) doesn’t manufacture chips. It designs the instruction set architecture, the blueprint that tells a chip how to execute code, and licenses that blueprint to every major chipmaker in the … Continued
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Doubled on Earnings. Now It’s Setting Up Again.
Nathan Bear | May 19, 2026
A small-cap just doubled on its earnings beat. The next day it ran another 25%. Now it’s taking a breather right in my favorite chart pattern, and 70% of the float is sold short underneath it. If buyers step back in here, the move will be fast. That’s the kind of setup I’m hunting all … Continued
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Why I’m Watching a “Boring” Band-Aid Stock
Nathan Bear | May 18, 2026
When you look at Kenvue (KVUE), you may see a boring consumer health company. I’m not sure that’s a fair assessment, considering they’re the world’s largest pure-play consumer health company by revenue, generating $15.5 billion in net sales in 2024. Their products may be boring: Tylenol, Listerine, Band-Aids… but you can’t say they aren’t under … Continued
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The Custom AI Chip Boom Runs Through One Company.
Nathan Bear | May 15, 2026
Six companies on earth are designing custom AI chips at hyperscale. Google. Meta. OpenAI. Anthropic. Apple. And one customer Broadcom hasn’t publicly named. None of them is doing it alone. The same designer is behind every one of them. It controls more than 70% of the custom AI silicon market. Broadcom. Google’s TPUs. Meta’s MTIA … Continued
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The Pentagon Just Made A $99 million Bet on One Defense Supplier
Nathan Bear | May 14, 2026
There’s a building in Herndon, Virginia, where engineers monitor satellites that the Pentagon now considers irreplaceable. On March 31, the Department of Defense made it official. The Pentagon awarded that company a $99 million multi-year contract without competitive bidding, solicitation from other vendors, or negotiation. One supplier got picked and signed the deal. That kind … Continued
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The Strait Of Hormuz Just Reshaped the Fertilizer Market.
Nathan Bear | May 13, 2026
There’s a stretch of water between Iran and the Arabian Peninsula about 90 miles long. Most of the world’s traded ammonia and most of the world’s traded urea move through it on ships, with about 25-30% of all globally traded ammonia and about 35-40% of all globally traded urea passing through this single stretch of … Continued
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The Market’s About to Snap
Nathan Bear | May 12, 2026
I’ve never seen the Nasdaq this stretched. +5 ATR right now, and I don’t remember ever seeing that in all the years I’ve been doing this. There’s probably going to be a wicked pullback at some point. I don’t know what’s going to trigger it, and I don’t know if it’s a gap-up that gets … Continued
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The Space Stock Breaking Out Before Earnings
Nathan Bear | May 11, 2026
Two years ago, Intuitive Machines (LUNR) tipped its lunar lander over on the moon. The IM-1 mission landed in February 2024, then immediately fell on its side, and the stock spent most of that year trading in single digits while traders moved on to the next story. The company had failed publicly, on live video, … Continued
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The Graveyard Stock That Just Stopped Being A Graveyard
Nathan Bear | May 08, 2026
For most of the last seven years, Boeing (BA) has been the stock most traders stopped looking at. Two 737 MAX crashes in 2018 and 2019 grounded the entire fleet, and COVID hit the airline industry harder than any other sector. The Spirit acquisition turned into a manufacturing nightmare, and quality control problems made headlines … Continued